本帖最後由 aa00 於 2012-11-7 03:27 PM 編輯 tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb1 F. d. O7 |2 O# m, w3 v5 Q r$ M
$ a& \& R, k' X7 T% hos.tvboxnow.com信報社評：誰主白宮浮沉 兩大懸念難消os.tvboxnow.com$ ]( D. d2 |& B9 y9 _: o: L2 e
TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。5 |, ^7 l9 s7 x Q
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美國總統大選投票昨天拉開帷幕，投票開始前，奧巴馬和羅姆尼的支持率仍旗鼓相當，需要由搖擺選民在最後一刻的投票選擇所決定。基於兩黨總統候選人在 理念和政策主張上有顯著的差異，因此，不論誰人當選，都會對政治、經濟和社會政策產生不同影響。其中在經濟環節，兩個「懸念」更一直令金融市場寢食難安。' p( ?& K9 @' p3 e2 W" S
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其一，大選結束後，在解決「財政懸崖」 過程中，究竟會向市場釋放出多少風險；其二，美國目前的貨幣量寬會不會改變，包括聯儲局主席貝南奇「丟官」後，政策能否延續抑或逐步淡出，最終「QE3」 成為絕唱。很明顯，這兩個「懸念」的不確定性和發展風險變化，足以對美股、美元滙價、美債市以至全球經濟復蘇步履產生影響。7 @6 i8 [2 v8 t. l
% F. n* t, {6 x" kTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。在競選期間，羅姆尼主張把前總統布殊的減稅計劃長期化、降低企業所得稅率及取消投資收益稅。在賦稅問題上，奧巴馬則強調向富有階層開刀，雙方僵持不下，意味兩黨就「財政懸崖」進行妥協的確有不小難度。/ A0 I+ `* v p" G* _# D; w
* ~ r' g! ]0 r9 j2 `可以看到，今屆大選，除了總統，還改選三十三名國會參議員、全部四百三十五名眾議員和若干州長等。若然共和黨繼續控制眾議院，而民主黨則繼續保持在參議院微弱多數的控制格局，一般估計，若羅姆尼勝選，他與參議院達成妥協的難度，較諸奧巴馬勝選後，要取得眾議院的支持為小，因而在迴避「財政懸崖」來臨的風險問 題上，羅姆尼可望有較寬的妥協時空。TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。2 y; Y' \8 R ?( o
( ]- Q1 M: V4 b. e: Los.tvboxnow.com照發展形勢看，大選後，即將卸任的國會與政府能否在月底達成有關方案，避免明年初啟動為數逾六千億美元的增稅及削減支出計劃，看來並不容易，充其量只能協商出「拖延」問題的期限，把自動削赤機制暫緩。os.tvboxnow.com0 T& _' N* n( w. B# M0 e; V* C, R
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可以說，在解決「財政懸崖」臨頭的過程中，風險的變化，一定程度繫於總統寶座易主和兩黨操控參眾兩院的改選結局。 6 ]0 I- R# x, DTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。+ d& {7 A- `0 X h n
至 於牽動全球金融市場神經的美國貨幣政策，照一般估計，若奧巴馬勝選，目前量化寬鬆措施可望得以維持，聯儲局購債計劃繼續令債券利率處於低水平。一旦羅姆尼入主白宮，他批評貝南奇量化寬鬆損及美元、抬高油價，並刺激通脹升溫風險的三輪QE政策，估計在一定程度上受到弱化，甚至超低利率政策有機會提前結束。6 {# {; h7 x) z0 e* Z' x% O1 }
TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。& u5 z- y8 @# u2 m7 X5 K' i
但不論誰人當選，美國政府必須解決巨大的財赤問題。按財政部不久前公布由十月至明年三月間將發行逾六千億美元淨適銷債券，以挹注政府開支。很明顯，美國龐大財赤得以維持，是拜低息所賜。目前十年期國債孳息率約一厘七，但利率始終有回升一日。 + v+ q3 c( P. n# a! v* |TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。3 z! W' A. ]% K3 |% a- z( D4 `
今次大選角逐，奧巴馬一直只能在勝敗邊緣艱苦力拒對手，反映他執政四年來，「變革」口號與實際政策的成果並未孚社會普遍所望。今年前三季度，美國經濟增速僅得百分之一點七，始終無法走出金融危機後經濟不景的陰影。 9 y4 q* M" s& C9 R: ?/ O' M) Atvb now,tvbnow,bttvb1 T7 o: F2 M+ g( V$ @: c# F
事實上，由次按證券危機引爆的金融風暴，到佔領華爾街運動風起雲湧，所暴露的貧富懸問題，反映美國經濟增長成果分配的社會矛盾。政府解決貧富不均惡化的方法，並非通過稅收和福利制度改革等再分配手段，來彌補差距擴大，而是透過為勞動階層提供廉價的物業貸款，讓市民買得起房屋，從而產生生活水平提高的幻覺。公仔箱論壇6 f: s- q2 Q& u Q5 |8 ^
( O$ Z3 }, O; ^0 }% A3 O, f而落選的共和黨候選人羅姆尼，則在愛達荷州、蒙大拿、亞利桑那州、猶他、懷俄明、北達科他、南達科他、內華達、堪薩斯、阿拉巴馬、德薩斯、路易斯安那、俄克拉荷馬、南卡羅來納、印第安納、肯塔基、喬洽亞、西維珍尼亞、阿肯色及田納西州勝出。tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb! e. g3 n" A8 c
2 r( i! F! n* Y; S7 p3 dTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。但目前關鍵搖擺州分之一的，佛羅里達州仍然未有投票預測結果。公仔箱論壇. u+ {; f A5 R: b! g! e
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- ^; V3 I7 e2 M. O( ^ M7 G8 ]公仔箱論壇 # J+ m) @+ D1 w9 Mos.tvboxnow.comU.S. President Barack Obama, who campaigned on a pledge to push the nation "forward" if he secured a second term as commander in chief, will have his opportunity to fulfill that promise after triumphing late Tuesday in a razor-thin contest with his Republican opponent Mitt Romney, according to U.S.networks.tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb/ l* T) v3 T7 u' Y; M: a; ]
7 R6 k0 x9 I3 ?os.tvboxnow.comObama wins Ohio… and four more years! * u% x4 F& T* mtvb now,tvbnow,bttvbtvb now,tvbnow,bttvb9 \/ ]4 p- t% q% X t9 w
{3 z$ C- m" }7 x( u6 H/ Y' `; r' ?os.tvboxnow.comI have just called President Obama to congratulate him on his victory. His supporters and his campaign also deserve congratulations. ! m( a( H6 t7 F( P; F& Otvb now,tvbnow,bttvb `7 L- F* i" m& @; \7 D; L
ROMNEY: His supporters and his campaign also deserve congratulations. I wish all of them well, but particularly the president, the first lady and their daughters.4 g( B4 b! o# c% e$ G
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5 h" Z$ E! k" W5 O! oos.tvboxnow.comThis is a time of great challenges for America, and I pray that the president will be successful in guiding our nation. . v8 l/ y' w7 N9 P+ f公仔箱論壇" Z4 Q) L& M6 ?. x: w
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' }2 j* U( d. Z, X' x6 G# i, qtvb now,tvbnow,bttvbROMNEY: I want to thank Paul Ryan for all that he has done for our campaign. 5 K5 O. e7 W; D2 _- G, M( W& C$ Atvb now,tvbnow,bttvbtvb now,tvbnow,bttvb5 V$ s! p- n4 M8 I4 H# b* l# {# i
(APPLAUSE)TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。! x2 x+ q( m M7 y8 T$ W
* J; e3 U3 k, o: k- KTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。And for our country.Besides my wife, Ann, Paul is the best choice I’ve ever made.# P9 C0 `2 v! @8 @7 u
4 K) v ?. X% J' N' {公仔箱論壇(APPLAUSE)TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。$ ?6 p7 g( C# v( K; i
/ Q4 _4 f4 ^2 G/ O; G. VAnd I trust that his intellect and his hard work and his commitment to principle will continue to contribute to the good of our nation. 0 a0 S# L# S. N Y G ! E! f2 M* v# d0 ^9 I8 ~% wtvb now,tvbnow,bttvb(APPLAUSE)tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb$ b0 K( H! r6 r: U" V
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I also want to thank Ann, the love of my life. ' d8 L3 G+ Q4 ^" _TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 z. E$ x& K8 M" m# m(APPLAUSE) 6 d; K- V ~4 K- f" N; X6 V% Htvb now,tvbnow,bttvb/ |( @3 s! R' |2 i
ROMNEY: She would have been a wonderful first lady. She’s -- she has been that and more to me and to our family and to the many people that she has touched with her compassion and her care.tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb2 U! g7 z+ L& Z. I7 D% L
I thank my sons for their tireless work on behalf of the campaign, and thank their wives and children for taking up the slack as their husbands and dads have spent so many weeks away from home.3 f; N, N8 g0 ]
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I want to thank Matt Rhoades and the dedicated campaign team he led. ' ^3 h8 K# c" i# f c9 Jos.tvboxnow.com / ^9 p c5 T2 B7 A$ ?5 @os.tvboxnow.com(APPLAUSE) % _3 ^, [/ N- T5 I, d8 B" ~9 t & b& e- b% ?- X' Wos.tvboxnow.comThey have made an extraordinary effort not just for me, but also for the country that we love.TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 T9 d; e- B7 |# \# m8 q
And to you here tonight, and to the team across the country -- the volunteers, the fundraisers,the donors, the surrogates -- I don’t believe that there’s ever been an effort in our party that can compare with what you have done over these past years.Thank you so very much.公仔箱論壇5 |* M9 S2 D4 M, u* J0 O
" |/ b- z6 d' A$ W( ^6 [7 t, ZTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。Thanks for all the hours of work, for the calls, for the speeches and appearances, for the resources and for the prayers. You gave deeply from yourselves and performed magnificently. And you inspired us and you humbled us. You’ve been the very best we could have imagined./ z/ ^6 L; |6 X' v7 i
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ROMNEY: The nation, as you know, is at a critical point. At a time like this, we can’t risk partisan bickering and political posturing. Our leaders have to reach across the aisle to do the people’s work. $ e6 \. Y- U* w$ V( K5 gAnd we citizens also have to rise to the occasion. We look to our teachers and professors, we count on you not just to teach, but to inspire our children with a passion for learning and discovery. 8 G, t/ a7 U! V. p* y. ]os.tvboxnow.com 1 q3 j! C' T% l: h: c* {tvb now,tvbnow,bttvbWe look to our pastors and priests and rabbis and counselors of all kinds to testify of the enduring principles upon which our society is built: honesty, charity, integrity and family. ! T$ g: \$ n; n Z( V' aos.tvboxnow.comtvb now,tvbnow,bttvb$ C4 o5 S$ G7 H8 R! h& \) v! R4 t
We look to our parents,for in the final analysis everything depends on the success of our homes.$ X/ K* t4 o, Y- y( w5 r- ]9 Q
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ROMNEY: We look to job creators of all kinds. We’re counting on you to invest, to hire, to step forward.tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb$ w! S5 w8 t+ F% J
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And we look to Democrats and Republicans in government at all levels to put the people before the politics.os.tvboxnow.com+ _7 Y2 r9 d# x2 S3 L- d% \! _
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I believe in America. I believe in the people of America.7 t: p/ ~- F# o
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And I ran for office because I’m concerned about America. This election is over, but our principles endure. I believe that the principles upon which this nation was founded are the only sure guide to a resurgent economy and to renewed greatness. ! h. P) O6 n3 R/ }Like so many of you,Paul and I have left everything on the field. We have given our all to this campaign. ' \* \, G& l9 U% u+ \公仔箱論壇; k& M {3 V: ~3 ?: |; p1 N# N
(APPLAUSE) % p7 o8 ?$ A, `" H- H! P( q* Z# J + k8 t) u$ B5 UTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。I so wish -- I so wish that I had been able to fulfill your hopes to lead the country in a different direction, but the nation chose another leader. And so Ann and I join with you to earnestly pray for him and for this great nation. % y" q- U( u+ V& MTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 : U) h2 e" J' ~4 xThank you, and God bless America. You guys are the best. Thank you so much. Thank you. Thanks, guys. tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb$ X$ J8 [* y& t! [
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(APPLAUSE) " _( V* b' J, a) T/ s1 mtvb now,tvbnow,bttvb公仔箱論壇' ]$ p* p: ?7 Y/ U, M) f( n( ] Mitt Romney (GOP Candidate )Concession Speech: 2012 Presidential Election tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb! i/ f/ Z( X6 x& o
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發表於 2012-11-7 07:43 AM
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