/ |) d' [/ h3 o X' I# DTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。IMF（國際貨幣基金）上星期便警告，香港的銀行正暴露於中國大陸的債務，當局須密切注視風險。香港銀行業總資產之中，有高達19%為對非銀行大陸企業（NBMCE、non-bank Mainland China exposures）的貨款，個別銀行更高逾40%。而在2007年之時，比例還在單位數字的低位。TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。$ u4 |: g0 W1 S3 C7 x) {) M' Q/ e
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《每日電訊報》銀行編輯Harry Wilson月初引述Asianomics分析師SharmilaWhelan指出「香港正在中國大陸一股發展中的颱風的移動路徑中」。報道提及穆迪上月底報告的負面展望，指香港多家銀行對大陸貸款所佔比例都急增（Wilson甚至指出，因為匯豐和渣打的關係，香港出問題的話，亦會波及英國）。 : o1 B* Q2 G+ P+ W$ E, S. S; L" t6 Y. { l G6 `3 w9 d9 M) ]
事實上，即使沒有「滬港通」或「港滬通」的「互聯互通」，香港的命脈早已被揸頸就命。例如，東江水已佔香港食水用水量的70%至80%，如果中方「斷水」，水塘存水加上正常降雨量只夠香港一年需要。tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb) L: v: e# m, v1 `- r: u
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雖然香港目前仍只得約23%源自由中國輸港的核電，將進口電源提升到耗電量一半仍屬諮詢文件的建議，卻其實隨着「西氣東輸」，中電須轉用由中國輸港的天然氣去發電，加上南方電網又已入股中電旗下的青山發電，港燈電力投資則獲國電入股，香港的早已不能自我支配自身的能源安全。; C! F, g+ m7 m
! {- B0 Z4 S. j/ V' M7 uos.tvboxnow.com或者，財政司司長曾俊華提出要研究海水化淡，只不過是從大掌櫃的角度出發，以在東江水價的談判桌上，力挽着一點點籌碼── 至少不會落得中電在西氣東輸一事般，落得全無議價能力。! t' h) H. T C. V- e: ?
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時空的交錯中，在地球的這一邊剛好出現太陽花學運。當中其一主題，就是不能讓明日的台灣成為今天的香港。一海峽之隔的美麗島上，學子尚且知道要亟力避免浪漫化與中國的關係，在一河之隔的「特區」，港人又豈能不注意到，波羅的海三國在強國旁邊，跟強國溶合，付出什麼程度的代價？ 6 u: |1 c4 v1 H& R3 @8 l0 eos.tvboxnow.comTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。: N6 U9 p+ o7 [! _9 y! p 作者: zhang14789 時間: 2014-4-15 03:33 PM
本帖最後由 felicity2010 於 2014-4-15 10:45 PM 編輯 : d6 H. q" Q' z3 V4 Ttvb now,tvbnow,bttvb) e! X& ~$ N( w1 y+ F# M
Pro-Russian mob targets journalists in Ukraine - BBC News 5 d, H4 j0 A4 _; q$ N1 kTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 ; Z( b& ]( s/ t x6 HTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。[youtube]sQ-hkBVlZtg[/youtube]TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。! X. Q$ l$ V# A: J: c
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* }2 J# a) Y2 U0 E0 ~! Z公仔箱論壇The Economist: A rising Russian tide 3 M9 M, ~% `9 ~- \os.tvboxnow.com% C5 V8 q: c' { TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。2 e% z2 J' Y6 E6 a$ p
9 Z" u: s' S9 \7 F公仔箱論壇TOWN by town, eastern Ukraine is falling under the control of men hostile to the Ukrainian state. On April 14th it was the turn of Gorlivka (also known as Horlivka), a 45-minute drive from the regional capital of Donetsk. A couple of hours earlier a deadline had expired,set by Ukraine's president, Alexander Turchinov, who demanded that men occupying government and police buildings leave them. The previous day Mr Turchinov had warned that the army would be deployed to regain control of the east.os.tvboxnow.com; Z8 z' _; b5 n$ v$ b& h. F
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Gorlivka is a mining town and has strategic value as an important railway junction. Other towns where police buildings have been seized in the past few days—including Slaviansk and Kramatorsk—lie on the main highway to Kharkiv, in the north, through which Russian troops based in Belgorod would have to pass in case of a fully-fledged invasion. ; e* r; x5 E5 D: a2 aTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 ' K/ q% K7 v. ?6 NTo the south this road leads to Mariupol, on the Black Sea coast and close to the Russian border. Here the police building has also fallen into the hands of pro-Russian rebels. To the west of Donetsk,on the main road to Kiev, at Krasnoarmiysk, an attempt to take the police building has so far failed. Whoever controls this has access to arms and the police officers who, willingly or not, have mostly gone over to the side of rebels. $ L8 R" I' C6 M* i4 jOn the evening of April 12th a film showed a military-style unit seizing the police building in Kramotorsk. Ordinary but organised locals were then left in charge. The taking of the Gorlivka police building was far more chaotic. Groups of thuggish-looking men with baseball bats, stones, helmets and Molotov cocktails tried to gain access but were initially held at bay. Stun grenades were thrown out of the building, in no apparent direction. * G- z# u+ Z7 D7 \/ d$ `! E8 H) ` $ m% ^% I! A; |+ SAs the morning wore on, a man with a Russian flag on a fishing rod clambered up the side of the Gorlivka police building,took down the Ukrainian flag from the covered entrance and replaced it. As he began to climb back down he either fell off the building or was pushed. A policeman then climbed out of the window of the building and tore down the Russian flag.A policewoman could be seen throwing a piece of paper out of the window which appeared to be a list of people surrendering.* v1 Q0 W( t# }7 P1 [8 `. i
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Ugly scenes ensued as the mob armed with truncheons and iron bars pushed into the building and resistance began to crumble. Towards the end only the commander and his deputy were left fending them off. Once they too were overpowered, the deputy was beaten and made to kneel before being allowed into an ambulance, according to an eyewitness.2 Z0 }# X Y. M
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When two men appeared on the roof of the building to raise the flag of the self-proclaimed Donetsk Republic, some began to laugh as it was held aloft triumphantly, but upside down. Inside the building two British journalists were assaulted but escaped unscathed after they had handed over the memory card from their camera.2 W5 I) E7 s+ H& G# \3 i
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A man in military uniform then announced from the stairs of the building that the police had switched sides. He demanded that there be no looting or lynching and asked for people to bring tyres and wood to build barricades. People around the building applauded, saying that either the Donetsk Republic should be independent, or part of Russia.os.tvboxnow.com) _( e# Y7 \3 {. D+ t
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On the other side of the road from the police station, men were giving orders to other groups of men whose faces were covered with ski masks. Some had helmets and some had body armour.tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb8 `. [; ]8 {3 U3 ?' x
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After watching the violence, a man called Pavel, who walked to talk at a safe distance from the mob, said he was a member of the Fatherland party of Arseniy Yatseniuk, the prime minister, and YuliaTymoshenko, a presidential candidate. He said he believed the seizure of thebuilding was designed to “provoke conflict” which would then lead to a Russian invasion.tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb$ Z, M+ o! K" ]" T# d
" X" U) D3 ]7 x/ ~# N2 K3 a" h$ Ftvb now,tvbnow,bttvbMs Tymoshenko herself was reported as calling on foreign leaders for help. “I ask leaders of the world to provide direct military help to Ukrainian people who have been fighting for their freedom and dying for it. I ask the leaders to act.” Unless Ukraine starts to fight for its own survival, that help seems unlikely to come.' r6 _+ K- L7 q+ k3 Y" {7 |1 B2 B
本帖最後由 felicity2010 於 2014-4-15 10:52 PM 編輯 os.tvboxnow.com# n2 G' b+ y9 S: f/ N
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Bennett Ramberg: The Chernobyl Factor in the Ukraine Crisis公仔箱論壇$ A$ }& j) {3 V; q7 n* k
TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。3 b' ]+ E6 j1 u0 c) d
TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。: P& g9 G/ A! H& a
% @) @' `' j% V% M, H. _* Oos.tvboxnow.comLOS ANGELES –Twenty-eight years after its Chernobyl nuclear plant exploded, Ukraine confronts a nuclear specter of a different kind: the possibility that the country’s reactors could become military targets in the event of a Russian invasion. Speaking at the Nuclear Security Summit in The Hague in March, Andrii Deshchytsia, Ukraine’s acting foreign minister, cited the “potential threat to many nuclear facilities” should events deteriorate into open warfare. ! d5 ?" Z' S, e" Q公仔箱論壇tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb Z2 E9 {! }3 U9 Z# w7 B
Earlier in the month,Ihor Prokopchuk, Ukraine’s ambassador to the International Atomic Energy Agency, circulated a letter to the organization’s board of governors warning that an invasion could bring a“threat of radiation contamination on the territory of Ukraine and the territory of neighboring states.” In Kyiv, Ukraine’s parliament responded by calling for international monitors to help protect the plants as the cash-strapped government attempts to boost its own efforts.公仔箱論壇& _4 p5 @$ u( _/ E
2 A& {1 q* p, t; K. ?; zTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。Are Ukraine’s concerns mere hyperbole – a “malicious slander,” as the Kremlin puts it – or should we take them seriously? For Ukraine’s government, the angst is real. Even Ukrainians born after 1986 understand what a Chernobyl-type disaster brought about by battle could look like. 6 b' B+ c* s0 h0 b8 T0 U( b " Q% D0 J3 }1 `公仔箱論壇History offers little guidance as to whether warring countries would avoid damaging nuclear sites.With the exception of the 1990’s Balkan conflict, wars have not been fought against or within countries with nuclear reactors. In the case of the Balkans,Serbian military jets overflew Slovenia’s Krško nuclear power plant in a threatening gesture early in the conflict, while radical Serbian nationalists called for attacks to release the radioactive contents. I7 d! S* S2 f# f9 R$ \$ N% eTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。os.tvboxnow.com/ w. h8 R4 A8 U) |4 r* W* v
Serbia itself later issued a plea to NATO not to bomb its large research reactor in Belgrade. Fortunately, the war ended with both reactors untouched. # \8 ^8 v. z) c7 L: ]( q- J- Q公仔箱論壇# x5 c! f0 S3 m* ~: D
While that case provides some assurance that military and political leaders will think twice about attacking nuclear reactors, the sheer scale of Ukraine’s nuclear enterprise calls for far greater global concern. Today, 15 aging plants provide 40% of Ukraine’s electricity. (Ukraine shut several reactors operating adjacent to the damaged Chernobyl reactor years ago.) Concentrated in four locations, Ukraine’s pressurized water reactors differ from the less stable Chernobyl RBMK design,yet still remain capable of releasing radioactive contents should safeguards fail.tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb z+ j7 E" U0 ~7 W' d3 w
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Given that Russia, too,suffered serious consequences from the Chernobyl accident, it is to be hoped that the Kremlin would recoil at the idea of bombing the plants intentionally.But warfare is rife with accidents and human error, and such an event involving a nuclear plant could cause a meltdown. , R5 f1 Q5 y' R" Ttvb now,tvbnow,bttvb ; P: x$ A6 ]- R( w5 GA loss of off-site power,for example, could be an issue of serious concern. Although nuclear plants are copious producers of electricity, they also require electrical power from other sources to operate. Without incoming energy, cooling pumps will cease functioning and the flow of water that carries heat away from the reactor core– required even when the reactor is in shutdown mode – will stop. ) I. m6 W4 }, C9 ^ |0 x: s+ R5 C( t# o公仔箱論壇To meet that risk,nuclear plants maintain large emergency diesel generators, which can operate for days – until their fuel runs out. The reactor meltdowns at Japan’s Fukushima Daiichi power station in 2011 demonstrated what happens when primary and emergency operating power are cut. 5 x3 _* }9 {" G. t) YTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 9 ?6 J3 ]4 w8 V2 N3 v' L) f" L0 w1 YTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。Such vulnerabilities raise troubling questions in the event of a war. Fighting could disrupt off-site power plants or transmission lines servicing the reactor, and could also prevent diesel fuel from reaching the plant to replenish standby generators. Operators could abandon their posts should violence encroach.. [$ v2 c" ]( k0 q$ Z. p6 C, |
N' Q$ z! s' }. g* A5 B1 S aMoreover, combatants could invade nuclear plants and threaten sabotage to release radioactive elements to intimidate their opponents. Others might take refuge there,creating a dangerous standoff. A failure of military command and control or the fog of war could bring plants under bombardment. : P4 O' a& h2 c) T( {2 z$ E " S6 P- R3 E' Q' b$ t+ V7 P R2 [8 WSerious radiological contamination could result in each of these scenarios. And, though no one stands to gain from a radioactive release, if war breaks out, we must anticipate the unexpected.2 o3 Z; k5 F& A
$ ^) w2 x1 ~# v; m3 ]- L& VTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。In Ukraine, nuclear emissions could exceed both Chernobyl and Fukushima. Wartime conditions would prevent emergency crews from getting to an affected plant to contain radiological releases should reactor containments fail. And, with government services shut down in the midst of fighting, civilians attempting to escape radioactive contamination would not know what to do or where to go to protect themselves.TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。+ g7 ~2 R9 t% [# A& n
# W+ k/ M3 X" N0 H# m2 y* @TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。Such risks might be one reason for Russian President Vladimir Putin to think twice about ordering a military invasion of Ukraine. But, should war come, combatants must do all they can to keep conflict away from the nuclear sites and the off-site power sources feeding them. 6 a) [* E2 Q0 s. C2 Fos.tvboxnow.com9 V8 e7 q1 F4 M, M
Plant operators should stockpile diesel fuel to keep emergency generators operating. They should perform review and maintenance of generators to ensure that they are set to go.In the event of fighting near reactors, the West should prepare to ferry forces to secure the plants and keep the generators operating; and, in the event of a meltdown, the West should rally both governments to initiate a cease-fire to deal with the disaster. Given the stakes, failure to prepare for the worst is not an option.公仔箱論壇( Y( d3 w3 T3 F8 u. A
9 J2 U0 o% X' ^% I1 G7 L$ D& hos.tvboxnow.comBennett Ramberg, a policy analyst in the US State Department’s Bureau of Politico-Military Affairs under President George H.W. Bush, is the author of Destruction of Nuclear Energy Facilities in War and Nuclear Power Plants as Weapons for the Enemy.作者: felicity2010 時間: 2014-4-16 09:37 AM
沈旭暉 : 普京之野望：「歐亞盟」能否單獨吸納東烏克蘭?; f/ _* F* _, N, C. ]$ S% F) r
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周一本欄談及一旦烏克蘭實行聯邦制，整個國家可能名存實亡，因為俄羅斯會通過種種經濟手段實質「消化」東烏克蘭，或讓其加入莫斯科主導的關稅聯盟，讓烏東愈來愈符合「實質獨立政治實體」的要求。有讀者認為這可能性不大，原因是聯邦制不能容許整個烏東被俄國吸去，而烏西卻被歐盟吸收。這是有趣的課題，值得進一步討論。TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。% P' ], _- W8 E( Z! ?* v1 \
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要探討俄國通過聯邦制「撕裂」烏國的可行性，大家先要重溫普京其中一個大動作的地緣政治計劃，即仿效歐盟成立「歐亞盟」（Eurasian Union）以爭一日之長短，重新整合大部分前蘇聯加盟共和國，以確立全球管治「一極之主」的地位。 , L& l9 R5 R8 u/ [/ z; ^& ~' }tvb now,tvbnow,bttvbTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。. p' I& A9 {$ F. A5 i+ T! b6 _
其實蘇聯解體後，類似嘗試曾出現不少，獨聯體就是不太成功的例子。但目前「普京之野望」終於有了基本框架，那就是二○一○年成立的俄羅斯、白俄羅斯、哈薩克三國關稅聯盟，三國並已簽訂協議，要在二○一五年把聯盟擴大為「歐亞盟」。tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb1 t7 H- A6 P9 I& Y% I, A8 _; L/ g! }
TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。2 e% z2 J' Y6 E6 a$ p