本帖最後由 felicity2010 於 2014-2-23 10:35 AM 編輯 7 x$ N v- Q. x$ N z9 a
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Carl Bildt: Europe’s Crisis in Ukraine 6 p3 R, B* c- a # V6 h; U' H4 D9 H, N8 I: y3 ?TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。( Z4 n& o9 Z, d$ K
STOCKHOLM – How Ukraine’s profound crisis will end is impossible to predict. We in the European Union and the United States are doing what we can to secure a peaceful transition to a more stable democracy, and the implementation, at long last, of urgently needed reforms. And the agreement now concluded between President Viktor Yanukovich and the opposition should create a new possibility for this. 8 _3 S; `: R* T, L1 A6 x( zos.tvboxnow.comTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。8 Y: {1 N' g% q- ]" K
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If the agreement is not honored, Ukraine could well continue its descent into chaos and conflict, which would be in no one’s interest. That is why Ukraine’s crisis is a European crisis. And, though we cannot know how the crisis will end, we should be very clear about how it started. 9 o3 F2 ]' k% z: G/ _( r' r+ VTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。7 z2 Q+ [' l3 \+ ~0 K
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For years, Ukraine sought a closer relationship with the EU. Its leaders warmly endorsed the promise of enhanced ties under the EU’s Eastern Partnership, and pushed for an EU Association Agreement, together with a Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area. When those talks,which began under the previous Ukrainian government, were concluded, the agreement was endorsed by all four presidents and all 14 prime ministers to hold office since Ukraine achieved independence in 1991.tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb' Q( \6 D& ?# y& B' A# P
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. s( b3 x& |$ ^. Y6 Ptvb now,tvbnow,bttvbBut, as the EU and Ukraine were addressing remaining issues ahead of the November 2013 Eastern Partnership summit in Vilnius, where Ukraine was to sign its Association Agreement, something suddenly changed. From August onward, Russian policymakers embraced the openly declared aim of knocking Ukraine off the course that it had chosen. A political campaign against the agreement was launched, and the Kremlin mixed targeted sanctions with threats of harsher measures against the already-weak Ukrainian economy.: y! m; a- t% ]
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& p3 d# y+ x `( o0 }! [+ R' Q/ ^公仔箱論壇Russian leaders publicly stated that if Ukraine signed a free-trade agreement with the EU, it would lose its free-trade deal with Russia, and high tariffs would be imposed on all goods and services. Severe economic pressure, it was made clear, would become open economic warfare. 3 g4 D/ G" C. ]. C" K3 k' s公仔箱論壇 ; C* i! p7 M6 r' Z0 `tvb now,tvbnow,bttvbUkrainian President Viktor Yanukovich gave way. In explaining to EU leaders that he was not ready to sign the Association Agreement, he was very clear that Russian pressure was responsible for his decision. 9 J2 T4 U5 U5 GTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。os.tvboxnow.com) J3 p3 `0 J' R& N
1 R0 u8 y* x9 W6 n5 f1 A' wTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。This set in motion the chain of events that has now resulted in carnage and death in the streets of Kyiv. For many Ukrainians,Europe was the symbol of hope of a better life; suddenly, they felt betrayed by a political elite that they had long perceived as being incorrigibly corrupt.So, to be clear, it was the Kremlin’s pressure, and the Yanukovich administration’s vacillation, that produced the current crisis.os.tvboxnow.com- l$ E- ` e% {4 z
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Had Yanukovich decided to stand up to Russian pressure,there is no doubt that Ukraine would have faced difficulties. But, with an EU Association Agreement and the possibility of solid financial aid and reform assistance from the International Monetary Fund, the Russian measures would not have been sustainable. * s$ D$ I' X! B" e9 t & _) G- W% R) [0 PTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 7 C6 Z8 N/ Z* F7 ?tvb now,tvbnow,bttvbOf course, the reforms asked of Ukraine would have been difficult, but no more difficult than what had been asked of other ex-communist countries that saw their future in and with Europe. There would have been light at the end of the tunnel, and, as Ukraine embraced the reform process, it would have been seen as a determined and democratic European country.TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。4 Z$ L3 G2 |1 e
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Instead, Yanukovich opted for a short-term strategy narrowly focused on his own political survival – a strategy that the protesters increasingly came to view as a game of deceit and betrayal. As the regime started to use violence to repress its opponents, violent opposition groups gained credibility.4 c* U9 Q2 d" z o+ ~. q) x7 c
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Free trade with both Russia and the EU would obviously havebeen good for Ukraine’s economy, thus providing a boost to the Russian economy as well, notwithstanding the oft-used but fundamentally bogus argument that EU goods would flow into Russia via Ukraine. (Has anyone heard Americans complaining that the free-trade agreement between Mexico and the EU is undermining the US economy?) 4 C# g, L& J K& W6 T9 A& Q) }" [os.tvboxnow.com 0 P5 R, D l* ltvb now,tvbnow,bttvb . g4 C( K: _' I- ^& o' iRussia is intent on building a new strategic bastion in the form of its proposed Eurasia Union, and it seems determined to force Ukraine to join. While publicly grumbling about supposed EU pressure on Ukraine, the reality is that Russia brutally extorted the country into abandoning its EU course. That is the source of this crisis; the facts speak for themselves. & T2 _1 S4 L; W9 B4 \5 f公仔箱論壇 % [( ?8 n; C! x0 F# {' Jtvb now,tvbnow,bttvb" t' W/ Y$ P9 C3 D# y' J1 Y( N3 l
Even under the best of circumstances, the road back for Ukraine will be difficult. Russian pressure and destabilization, and the crisis to which they have led, have created new fissures in Ukraine’s society and have caused further damage to its fragile economy. And that damage could, one day, spill over into Russia. The Kremlin should have an interest in a stable and reforming neighbor that, like other countries, is also seeking a close relationship with the EU. ' a( t4 b2 G4 g& H7 n! R% C1 ntvb now,tvbnow,bttvb公仔箱論壇0 U. [2 g* B% i; E6 Z; k* S
TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。0 W$ c8 O2 v9 x0 Z4 d6 T Carl Bildt has been Sweden’s foreign minister since 2006, and was Prime Minister from 1991 to 1994, when he negotiated Sweden’s EU accession. A renowned international diplomat, he served as EU Special Envoy to the Former Yugoslavia, High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina, UN Special Envoy to the Balkans, and Co-Chairman of the Dayton Peace Conference.tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb2 H; u# \6 \ J8 F8 R; G
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( c( [( B- b5 K3 N! H) }; rtvb now,tvbnow,bttvb ! o7 ?( b3 f+ _6 ]! j4 d* ftvb now,tvbnow,bttvbKYIV – Acrid black smoke hangs in the air and stings the eye in much of central Kyiv, where state repression is dampening hope of resolving Ukraine’s political crisis. With a truce between the government and the opposition shattered only hours after it came into effect, and with dozens of people reported killed in recent days, any hope for an end to the country’s deepening civil disorder appears to be fading fast.tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb/ b3 ?( z# [$ U5 ^
7 F8 @ Q4 v: u- z1 bTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 6 |; V% E$ u" y7 [" }. J6 Otvb now,tvbnow,bttvbYes, a tentative settlement has been reached, following mediation by European Union foreign ministers, with a promise of early elections. But such settlements have been proposed before, and no agreement is likely to gain broad acceptance unless it includes the immediate departure of President Viktor Yanukovich. T% X" \( ]4 n: k; Q: aTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb" ?3 c# O2 x6 W1 [ ~% R( ~" t
1 P1 l7 `7 k0 P公仔箱論壇In fact, Yanukovich’s government seems prepared to use any and all measures to remain in power. Taking a page from Russian President Vladimir Putin’s playbook, tax police are prosecuting civil-society organizations in the hope of cowing them into silence and irrelevance. Yet,despite such intimidation, Ukrainians from all walks of life have been protesting for three months in cities across the country. " E e, e0 r/ | ! R y- z T$ I7 S- w8 \+ q) K; _ `" z- @
At its heart, this is a struggle between Ukraine’s European-oriented West and its Russian-fixated East for the country’s geopolitical soul. Will Ukraine move closer to the European Union or instead join the Russian-dominated Eurasian Union?公仔箱論壇 z! A6 O" ?7 Y$ N: c
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Despite the mounting violence, Ukraine is not on the vergeof civil war – at least not yet. But make no mistake: the risk of the country –and its military – splintering is very real, as Yanukovich’s decision to sackVolodymyr Zamana, the head of the armed forces, attests. The conflict needs tobe stopped now. 8 _( [; f# p) ETo achieve that, Ukraine needs a transitional government ofexperts and a new constitution that returns the country to the system thatprevailed until a decade ago, with power divided between Parliament and thepresident. Moreover, a presidential election should be held within threemonths, with a new parliament voted in soon after. ( ]0 [0 T/ S" Q* Xos.tvboxnow.com公仔箱論壇$ @+ t6 V5 c+ F# {& K; ?9 R
8 `/ e# o' `( I( n( O, [0 x6 P& aos.tvboxnow.comBut Yanukovich has shown that he does not want a negotiated solution. Until the recent surge in violence, it seemed that dialogue might defuse tensions. An amnesty for detained protesters was offered, and protesters agreed to withdraw from government buildings. But when demonstrators fulfilled their promise and evacuated occupied buildings, Yanukovich resorted to force in an effort to end the protests altogether.% x! a* J$ t. G& {
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Indeed, the police began firing into crowds of demonstrators, and have reportedly killed at least 70 and injured hundreds more. Hospitals are overflowing, and many people are avoiding state clinics, because they are afraid of being detained – or worse. The activist Yuri Verbitsky, a mathematical physicist, was abducted by five men in late January from a Kyiv hospital, where he had gone to seek treatment after being injured by a stun grenade at a demonstration. Verbitsky’s battered body was found the next day in a forest outside the city.7 i+ [, g# R$ ?0 Z6 A) |: M3 _
2 d1 H( ], s/ Q5 {3 Gos.tvboxnow.comAny prospect for resolving the crisis ultimately depends on regaining citizens’ trust in their police and security forces, which are now viewed by many as an occupying force.To reestablish the public’s confidence, there can be no impunity for those who fired bullets or gave the orders to fire. Officials’ excessive use of force,and the government’s reliance on semi-criminal thugs (known as titushki)to attack protesters, must be thoroughly investigated. ) k0 C9 C0 |# ?# _tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb+ M3 K* A' h. D
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But, even as the ongoing violence makes such an investigation all the more urgent, Ukraine’s prosecutor and courts refuse to act. That is why it is crucial that a high-level international mission –comprising civil-society leaders, the Council of Europe, and the European Union– launch a comprehensive inquiry and pressure Ukraine’s government to cooperate. - }* V* i" f! Y公仔箱論壇 7 O# U6 w* A: ^- Y$ }, |公仔箱論壇 : U7 A; K' i: R P! X9 D: ^ Pos.tvboxnow.comThe EU and the United States have introduced diplomatic sanctions since the latest round of murderous violence began. This should include a travel ban not only on all officials who ordered, oversaw, or implemented the crackdown, but also on Yanukovich’s political enablers: the oligarchs who are now sitting on the sidelines while spiriting large sums of money out of the country.3 S' z! o v9 k6 _1 V6 N
) r; G4 U' g) g Otvb now,tvbnow,bttvb . m$ F! L4 b DTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。Sanctions should be lifted only when a credible investigation into the last three months of violence is permitted and a technocratic government is in place (at which point the EU and its member states should offer concrete economic assistance). Prime Minister Mykola Azarovresigned last month, ostensibly to make way for such a solution. But Yanukovich has refused to take the next step, or to commit to constitutional reforms,which largely explains the protesters’ growing frustration – and their determination to press ahead in the face of brutal repression. 6 _2 {% N9 I# p4 }* m/ V Aos.tvboxnow.com: o) v9 E H$ b3 ~/ ?2 b/ c
9 E9 {7 A- k1 Z/ g5 etvb now,tvbnow,bttvbThere is a perception in the West that all of Ukraine’s political forces are weak, divided, and corrupt. And there are growing concerns,often fueled by sensationalist media coverage, that far-right forces are gaining the upper hand within the opposition camp. But, though such forces do exist, the vast majority of demonstrators on the Maidans across the country are ordinary people angry about abuse of power, state violence, official impunity,and corruption. $ o& d ^8 ]9 p5 p公仔箱論壇公仔箱論壇) u& F) u' i9 g2 G
) y K) \* d+ j' w" Y bos.tvboxnow.comFor the venal and vicious elites who have taken control of Ukraine, the real threat is these demonstrators’ perseverance, not the provocations of a radical fringe. Indeed, while I refuse to believe that Ukraine’s march to civil war is unstoppable, I also know that our citizens will never be silenced again.tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb8 j; E; p' D1 X6 q5 E
TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。. Q/ P. i* ]0 l. ^+ } Yevhen Bystrytsky is Executive Director of the International Renaissance Foundation % X0 X2 _! X9 P) M! b4 g7 [4 `. D# [ # D! y. N& x+ \$ `TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。作者: felicity2010 時間: 2014-2-23 11:11 AM
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烏克蘭東部俄語區不滿國會削減亞努科維奇權力，多名地方領袖與亞氏會面後，發表聲明質疑國會合法性，宣布接管當地。哈爾科夫地區首長聲言無意分裂國家，「相反我們希望守護它」，另一地方領袖則號召建立民間巡邏隊維持秩序。& g; F. H/ ^& x- k' ^% n4 K' h+ p/ X
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總統斥反對派土匪 「如納粹奪權」 & G' Z7 w6 R7 o+ a% B& a6 _os.tvboxnow.com: y7 p: Z4 s2 \+ E9 _
+ ^ x5 i' m! J. K! U亞努科維奇昨日亦發表電視講話，強調自己不會離國，亦不會辭職，強調他是「合法選出的總統」。他指突然出走是因為感到自己以及親信的安全，受到控制基輔市中心大片地區的示威者威脅，「我的車也遭槍擊，但我沒有恐懼」。 . p: m5 L, |9 M/ J" b) uos.tvboxnow.comtvb now,tvbnow,bttvb4 d# C: M r2 v6 O. O
1 w4 p" L, w C8 g6 \* V+ O$ b. STVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。他回擊反對派提前下台要求，形容「今日（昨日）發生的所有事基本上可概括為蓄意搶掠、土匪行徑和政變」，「那不是反對派，是土匪」。他又表明不會簽署容許政敵季莫申科獲釋的任何法案，「他們今日作出的決定是非法的，他們必然聽我怎麼說──我不準備簽署任何東西」。他又形容現時情與1930年代德國納粹奪權的情十分相似。 ' w: F+ o _ C. C1 L5 e公仔箱論壇tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb$ E4 C) Q: r+ z# x- T! T8 I
到了晚上，烏克蘭國會指亞努科維奇並未履行憲法責任，「變相自行離職」，並將大選日期進一步提前在5月25日舉行。議員隨後在議會廳站立鼓掌，並頌唱國歌慶祝。 9 F. ]& }9 C! O' G% O1 P- {$ VTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。5 t7 K! o8 b8 t4 }
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