5 p v2 G" d. C% t1 KN﹕我相信會的,但很難說是哪一個國家,我想較可能的是也門、阿爾及利亞和約旦。目前阿爾及利亞的民間已在起動了,也門總統已宣布不再連任,約旦除了換了首相,還出現群眾批評王后干政的運動,可見衝擊已經開始。相對而言,沙特、科威特等王室管治的國家,因為更封閉,反而較難出現類似革命,那裏的民眾也許會要求一些小規模變革,但要徹底改變那種高壓政體太困難了。 ' L5 S( o; _ G5 d9 }# q E8 t: ?) X5 `5 a E* m公仔箱論壇沈﹕西方將這波革命比作「新顏色革命」或「第四波民主化」,但中亞、東歐的顏色革命爆發後,新政府比從前更糟,貪污問題沒有改善,國內矛盾被激化,反而失去了從前的秩序。有內地學者因而還是得出「穩定壓倒一切」的結論。你擔心革命後的埃及會步吉爾吉斯等國後塵嗎?( J: ~& i2 {9 s; E( \4 r
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N﹕今天埃及的社會狀是近數十年最壞的,不會有更壞的了。埃及經歷政權更替,結果一定是好多於壞,因為這是代表埃及人民得到尊嚴,他們連穆巴拉克都能推翻,就沒有一個政權是埃及人民不能推翻的。短期內也許是換湯不換藥,但長遠來看,這次革命的正面意義必然被肯定!作者: felicity2010 時間: 2011-2-13 06:09 AM
本帖最後由 felicity2010 於 2011-2-13 06:12 AM 編輯 * Q: F7 j- U* I* w z3 P0 N) _3 K" xTVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。2 t( y) b3 c/ g Arabs seize the ‘permission to narrate’ 0 i0 t5 ]) B+ y+ s @公仔箱論壇 ~- k, w5 v' B: B2 L/ MBy Dan Siskentvb now,tvbnow,bttvb9 y+ ^, q1 \; ^9 ?0 ~
The Egyptian revolution is bringing with it countless stories about how it happened and what it means for Egypt and the Middle East. Having spent a good number of hours the past two weeks watching and marveling at Al Jazeera's coverage, I sense that one of the stories taking shape amounts to a meta narrative about a shifting balance of media influence between the region and the United States. Just as the Egyptian revolution has liberated the Egyptian people from the grasp of a US-backed authoritarian leader and seems likely to wrench Egypt out of its nearly total reliance on US support and largesse, the Egyptian people--as covered by Al Jazeera--may be bringing about a new international media order.os.tvboxnow.com: G( u) V! h4 e' {
9 Z. R; }4 e' P+ jtvb now,tvbnow,bttvbIn a presentation before a room of about 50 people at DC's Busboys and Poets last week, an Al Jazeera reporter and anchor discussed with the audience the effect the ongoing revolution is having on the station's reach in the US.Despite the fact that Al Jazeera English is available by cable in only a small handful of US locales, its reputation and visibility have skyrocketed since January 25, mostly because Americans have been watching the live stream of the AJE broadcast on the station's web site. As someone from the audience pointed out, the Egyptian uprising is doing for AJE what the first US Gulf war did for CNN. 0 U( Y/ N/ {; |公仔箱論壇 * ?4 K i0 j7 _8 Y, X; sSo, as we watch the unfolding drama of Egyptians reclaiming their voice and destiny, we watch and are enlightened by young and extremely well-informed Arab, and in many cases Egyptian, reporters and analysts. There is no western filter of former government officials, DC think tankers, former military officers, and other US policy wonks. No, what we are now witnessing is Arabs and Egyptians, not only making their own history, but having the international stature and reach to narrate it as well." _0 w8 x' @. Q; R2 I5 @" S0 v
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$ |0 p" _* W d1 {- p1 A) g" a& nTVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。TVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。; L- Q [' f6 V
Facts do not at all speak for themselves, but require a socially acceptable narrative to absorb, sustain, and circulate them. . . . as Hayden White has noted in a seminal article, "narrative in general, from the folk tale to the novel, from annals to the fully realized 'history,' has to do with the topics of law, legality, legitimacy, or, more generally, authority." 9 Y7 I5 p( n+ ^& b4 B7 _3 yTVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。- Edward Said