, _7 V# f) X! A3 C, u. w- |os.tvboxnow.com別說佛蘭克爾，季辛吉生於一九二三年，現在也八十八歲了。他雖然因此得到諾貝爾和平獎，台灣所有認同中華民國的人，對他難免心懷不滿。但佛蘭克爾倒說了幾句公道話。他指出：季辛吉的長處，在於能整理出一套自成體系的「戰略觀念（strategic concepts）」，抓住問題重點，而把兩造歷史悠久的衝突、仇恨與恐懼暫時放在一邊。TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。6 e) i" J7 y+ b
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佛蘭克爾指出：一九七二年時，大陸人對美國有很大的反感，不只因為美國曾以武力干涉國共鬥爭，而且非常討厭美國整天擺出一副優越的模樣，批評中國不准許民主自由、不尊重個人權利與不容許宗教信仰等等。但季辛吉偏能在兩國外交政策的眾多矛盾中，找出雙方和則兩蒙其利，分則兩敗俱傷的路｜就是前蘇聯對美、中兩國的威脅。 / d1 d7 v4 k1 O( Z公仔箱論壇3 ~6 P2 m* L6 p( W) s6 d0 j1 W
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季辛吉的戰略觀念，用書中他自己的話，就是「中、美兩國不管什麼人執政，遲早必然會結合在一起，只是時間問題。（That China and the United States would find a way to come together was inevitable given the necessities of the time.）」。但這句話會是顛撲不破的真理嗎？佛蘭克爾評論老季新書的重點，正在於此。 1 ^9 ~" l7 a$ C- _8 T; q9 }# }os.tvboxnow.com & u# @, X6 g% q' V$ mos.tvboxnow.com國際關係偶爾有平行發展的時候。尼克森在國內反對越戰運動中，受創甚重。大陸則有天安門事件，證明老毛所謂的永恆革命論，根本站不住腳。世界歷史天天循著自然發展的軌道演變，季辛吉所說的「時間問題」，早已面目全非。現在是什麼時間呢？# \* o% |0 S7 G; A1 {
y. }" v/ L8 NTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。佛蘭克爾引用季辛吉書裡的話，老實不客氣地指出：今日最熱門的新聞，是中國大陸的急速發展，成為世界經濟的火車頭。相形之下，前蘇聯和它在東歐的附庸集團，早已垮台。今天即使是美國，也像染上了鴉片煙癮，必須倚靠從國外進口原油、向大陸買日用百貨與不斷向外借債，才能維持收支平衡。 , G; U+ ]( c0 N0 e公仔箱論壇tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb5 e) |6 h; {$ q1 V8 q1 D2 ^$ ^
季辛吉對大陸的胡溫體制推崇備至，他說今日中國一切以經濟為先，既無意於對外擴張，也願意耐心等候與台灣和平統一。北京只想全力振興經濟，提高全國人民的生活水準。佛蘭克爾忍不住調侃老季說，你不是一直認為從戰略觀點看，民主只是一種累贅嗎？ " w6 ?) ~+ r- `- d! t公仔箱論壇tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb1 q% h& j; p. o9 c% ^: ^6 Y
老季確實這麼說過：所謂民主，在國際一盤棋裡，無足輕重。上周三即六月廿八日，他又到了北京，習近平接見他。我猜測他不會向大陸內定的接班人，講這類喪氣話。os.tvboxnow.com: g; P9 G k9 n# y& Q, b
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I+ }/ t, A8 p9 pKissinger has a dark side that in a way undermines his credibility as a politician. For those who are interested, there is a good documentary called "Trials of Henry Kissinger" on this facet of his character. . V& g7 ?/ |. [: C3 @: Vtvb now,tvbnow,bttvb / x3 |; Q8 ~5 n& N( w! e C[gv]-2815881561030958784[/gv] 8 f( t: A0 _8 G2 u5 M! ^公仔箱論壇 7 N) h" d: I8 m3 n+ l1 G0 K& ?TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 ; w7 L' i& A, q作者: aa00 時間: 2011-7-4 04:25 PM
As in the video, someone said “He’s a world criminal.” ( }1 H* ^( ^6 q7 q公仔箱論壇The New York Times (Washington; Dec. 1, 1998) stated that … doubts about international tribunals aimed at former foreign rulers, and worries over the implications for American leaders who might some-day also accused in foreign countries.tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb) n2 S4 U& ^: ~0 S; Q- b
Geoffrey Robertson QC, Human Rights Lawyer, said … they may be punished sometime in the future???9 v/ a+ s- A) x9 y7 w) `! X1 o
TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。1 u0 C7 \, O, O5 u" u7 {
Would you believe that? Will it be? Can it be?? os.tvboxnow.com$ h; W5 k% D1 Z' _9 @
I doubt !作者: felicity2010 時間: 2011-7-5 01:40 AM
本帖最後由 felicity2010 於 2011-7-5 01:44 AM 編輯 $ W8 o/ s& Z! f, [. y6 |tvb now,tvbnow,bttvbTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。- t$ o1 A+ ]8 R
I believe his day of reckoning probably would not be in his life time. There are still many documents to be declassified before there is solid evidence to proceed with the indictment, if any. American public are quite naive and gullible, eager to believe whatever said by their politicians. Like Reagan whose hands were dripping with innocent blood, still is one of the most popular presidents. Dissident voices are few in the American media and have low chance of being heard. I still vividly remember the popular support enjoyed by George W Bush when he prepared the invasion of Iraq. Although there were a few who questioned the justification for the war, it remained a hardly noticeable minority.作者: aa00 時間: 2011-7-6 12:10 PM
At this point, I can't see any difference between USA & China ……… high hand (sorry to use Chinglish as more familiar ) to hide.作者: felicity2010 時間: 2011-7-6 01:51 PM
本帖最後由 felicity2010 於 2011-7-7 01:34 PM 編輯 os.tvboxnow.com& M* U, \2 d6 V a: F
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Although it looks the same, there are actually differences. There are system in place to declassify documents after a time, usually 25 years in US. The parties having interests in the documents can extend the time before declassification. However, individuals or organizations can apply for the declassification through Mandatory Declassification Review or for Freedom of Information Act. A decision would be made by higher authority. Of course, there are ways to get around this like partially revealing the documents and yet keeping the names and dates or other sensitive data hidden but it is still within the confines of the law. The Chinese government can put a lid on scandals using heavy-handed means like imprisonment based on trumped-up charges or direct threats, oblivion of the rule of law.
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